Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Poll Shows Shortal Ahead by Wide Margin

From the October 28, 2015 Dunwoody Crier

Dunwoody City Councilman Denis Shortal holds a commanding lead in the city’s mayor’s race, according to a poll commissioned by The Crier and conducted last week and Sunday.

Shortal has the support of 55 percent of those polled, while Mayor Mike Davis polls at 29.1 percent. Opinion Savvy’s target population was likely citywide voters and lists 431 respondents with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percent.

That margin of error and the 10.3 percent undecided in the poll give Davis a glimmer of hope of driving Shortal below 50 percent in the election Nov. 3 and forcing a runoff vote.

Two other candidates are in the contest, with Steve Chipka polling less than 1 percent and Chris Grivakis gaining the support of five percent.
Shortal is an original member of the new city’s council and has served as mayor pro-tem since the city’s first elections. He won re-election to council two years ago.

Davis became the city’s second mayor four years ago. In a poll for The Crier in his 2011 election battle with Bob Dallas, Davis trailed but forced a runoff and won the seat.

In the citywide, at-large race for a District 1 city council post, the incumbent, Terry Nall shows the support of 60 percent of those polled while newcomer Becky Springer garners 28 percent support. The poll shows 12.3 percent undecided.

Breaking down the Opinion Savvy numbers shows Shortal leading in all age groups, races, sexes and parties. The closest demographic group was among voters aged 45 to 64 who chose Shortal by a margin of 42 percent to 38 percent and those 30-44 who chose Shortal by 54 percent to 46 percent.
Among voters older than 65 Shortal shows a commanding lead of 66 percent to 17 percent.

A similar pattern exists in the citywide council race. Nall wins every demographic group, winning older, likely voters by huge margins. Springer does defeat Nall among self-identified Democrats 44 percent to 39 percent. The election is non-partisan.